Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 20.063556 22.652152 25.389037 28.492355 31.907383 35.544682 39.705503
2024-12-22 15.969476 19.453460 23.367565 28.068293 33.536747 39.673385 47.055378
2024-12-29 13.785483 17.982164 22.958466 29.241631 36.905800 45.890619 57.155061
2025-01-05 11.617140 16.187965 21.894289 29.444730 39.064735 50.796532 66.056117
2025-01-12 9.415224 14.016725 20.061816 28.433221 39.552521 53.625770 72.566447
2025-01-19 7.636913 12.133689 18.341461 27.320459 39.722494 55.968359 78.525996
2025-01-26 6.912638 11.610353 18.372825 28.514363 42.978151 62.458933 90.191638
2025-02-02 6.646047 11.712597 19.272690 30.962738 48.087531 71.688894 105.981839
2025-02-09 6.131669 11.353238 19.434699 32.321340 51.708384 79.039534 119.553186
2025-02-16 5.429928 10.589593 18.885001 32.537841 53.641091 84.077831 130.104329
2025-02-23 4.676858 9.628469 17.908551 31.982759 54.339006 87.325326 138.202995
2025-03-02 4.075125 8.842655 17.121987 31.632290 55.279108 90.916113 146.893926
2025-03-09 3.657308 8.350951 16.803026 32.052142 57.507153 96.631878 159.131974
2025-03-16 3.193986 7.701369 16.135655 31.821305 58.663945 100.763194 169.179024
2025-03-23 3.017646 7.601440 16.444556 33.287491 62.674038 109.488276 186.576170
2025-03-30 2.716377 7.193145 16.133505 33.622858 64.800538 115.330803 199.749767
2025-04-06 2.297650 6.456612 15.106834 32.562296 64.458989 117.180651 206.717296
2025-04-13 1.925779 5.756158 14.062567 31.360253 63.762768 118.377703 212.644949
2025-04-20 1.834105 5.712100 14.356345 32.730768 67.706601 127.403072 231.512495
2025-04-27 1.865336 5.980671 15.332934 35.498819 74.313731 141.138623 258.511589
2025-05-04 1.789585 5.960955 15.682492 37.036720 78.731620 151.316150 279.969792
2025-05-11 1.623702 5.672882 15.409335 37.289367 80.764529 157.475928 294.948119
2025-05-18 1.417867 5.234232 14.744385 36.673555 81.109037 160.702140 305.089072